BIBLIOGRAPHY

Barrell, J. “Probable relations of climatic change to the origin of the Tertiary Ape-man.” Scientific Monthly, New York, 4, 1917, p. 16.

Mathew, W. D. “Climate and evolution.” Annals New York Acad. Sci., 24, 1915, p. 212.

London, British Museum. “A guide to the fossil remains of man....” London, 1918.

CHAPTER XIX
CLIMATE AND HISTORY

It is a remarkable fact in human history that civilization began in regions which are at present inhabited chiefly by backward races, and the centres of progress have shifted from one country to another with the passage of time. Many accidental factors—position on trade-routes, possession of special mineral advantages, and so on, have undoubtedly played a part in this, but it will not be difficult to show that climatic fluctuations have also had their share.

A brilliant study of Ellsworth Huntington[13] has shown that there are certain optimum conditions of climate which are most suitable for efficient work. These conditions, which were determined by an analysis of the output of work in American factories, were then found to be just those which prevail in the most progressive regions of the globe, which are located in the temperate storm-belts, and it is shown in certain instances that fluctuations in the position of this storm-belt coincided with fluctuations in the centres of civilization. A few additional examples of this may be given.

The beginnings of civilization may reasonably be placed with the transition from the Palæolithic to the Neolithic type, a transition which involved much more than just the polishing of stone weapons. It involved also the beginnings of agriculture, crude pottery, and later, the domestication of animals. One of the earliest Neolithic cities known is probably that of Anau, near Askabad in Transcaspia, excavated by Pumpelly in 1904. From the thickness of the accumulated debris the date of first settlement is placed at or before 8000 B.C., i.e. 10,000 years ago, or during the period which in Europe is assigned to the concluding stages of the Wurm glaciation. Pumpelly’s time-estimates are based on careful comparison with accumulations in Merv and other cities. At present the mean annual rainfall in that part of Turkestan is below ten inches a year, and the country is practically desert, and is entirely unfitted for agriculture. But with the remains of the ice-sheet still over Scandinavia and depressions following a more southerly course along the Mediterranean basin and into southern Asia, the rainfall was considerably heavier, and the climate in general was more suited to a progressive race. At the outset we find this Neolithic race living in rectangular houses built of uniform sun-dried bricks; they were skilful potters, cultivating cereals, but at first without domestic animals.

The beginning of Neolithic civilization in Crete is placed by Evans at about 12000 B.C., while on the basis of excavations by de Morgan at Susa in Persia, Montelius places the origin of Neolithic culture in this part of Asia as early as about 18000 B.C. At Susa the deposits are 130 feet thick, and of these the upper 40 feet cover a period of 6000 years.

Thus we see that what may be considered as the great step from savagery to civilization took place while the present centres of progress in Europe and America were still in the Ice Age. At this time the climate of southern Asia must have resembled the present climate of north-west Europe in heavier rainfall and the day-to-day fluctuations of weather—in fact, the districts where civilization began probably had at that time the most stimulating climate in the northern hemisphere.

With the vanishing of the ice-sheets and the setting in of the mild climate of the Maritime phase the Neolithic culture spread rapidly to Europe, and by 2000 B.C. even the Baltic regions were well inhabited, and it is probable that the Aryan race was developing in the Russian steppes. About this time Anau was abandoned owing to increasing aridity.

With the coming of the Bronze Age in western Europe, about 1800 B.C., however, the climate again became colder and rainier, corresponding to the Peat-bog phase or “Classical” rainfall maximum, the deterioration culminating in the Early Iron Age. This period was marked by a great southward spread of the Aryan peoples, and ushered in the Heroic Age of Greece. The races of the Mediterranean, as we have seen, continued to thrive throughout this rainy period, and their power did not diminish until its close, about A.D. 400. This downfall was accelerated if not caused by the pressure of nomad peoples driven out of Asia by the increasing drought. These Asiatic migrations included the great marches of the Tartar hordes and, aided by religious enthusiasm, the conquests of the Moslems.

The early Middle Ages, after the downfall of Rome, appear to have been characterized by a dry warm climate. This was the age of the Vikings, when the Norse races rose to dominance in western Europe, finally invading and occupying large areas of France and Britain, and even extending their power to Sicily. With the increasing cold and wet of the “Mediæval” rainfall maximum came a final burst of Norse migration, which left the homeland poor and scantily populated, and the centre of activity and progress lay once again with the Mediterranean peoples, and especially with Italy and Spain. The Tartar invasions ceased, and against the increasing power of Europe the Moslem wave broke and receded. At the close of this rainy period political dominance again moved north. From that time the fluctuations of climate have been of minor importance, and correspondingly there have been no great shiftings of political power from latitude to latitude.