The Book of Chilan Balam of Mani[5] states that on Katun 13 the people whose history is recorded in this book reached Chacnouitan eighty years after leaving Nonaual, and that on Katun 6 of the following cycle Chichen Itza was discovered, and that on Katun 11 of the second following cycle they removed to Chichen Itza, having remained at Chacnouitan ninety-nine years. The distance from Katun 13 of one cycle to Katun 6 of another is 200 tuns, or about 197 years. The distance from Katun 13 of one cycle to Katun 11 of the second following cycle is 280 tuns or about 276 years.
| First date | 54.9.8.10.6.16 | ┐ | ┐ | |
| of Piedras | │ | │ | ||
| Negras, | │ | │ | ||
| │ 3.11.12. 0. = 70 y. 250 d. | │ | |||
| Last date | 54.9.12.2.0.16 | │ | │ | |
| of Piedras | │ | │ | ||
| Negras, | ┘ | │ | ||
| │13.18.12.13 = | ||||
| First date | 54.9.14.13.4.17 | ┐ | │274 y. 323 d. | |
| of Quirigua | │ | │ | ||
| │ 4.19.13.15 = 98 y. 145 d. | │ | |||
| Last date | 54.9.19.13.0.12 | │ | │ | |
| of Quirigua | ┘ | │ | ||
| │ | ||||
| Chichen | 54.10.2.9.1.9 | 2.16.0.17. = 55 y. 102 d. | │ | |
| Itza, | ┘ |
The coincidences of dates are remarkable when it is seen that the length of time from the first date of Piedras Negras to that of Chichen Itza is 2782⁄3 tuns, while the time between the arrival at Chacnouitan to the removal to Chichen Itza is given by the Book of Chilan Balam as 280 tuns. More than this, if an inscription should be found hereafter in Piedras Negras recording a date as late as 54. 9. 13. 9. 6. 16, this would show a stay in Piedras Negras of 99 tuns, the time given in the manuscript for the stay at Chacnouitan, and if about 54. 9. 13. 9. 6. 16, the people of Piedras Negras deserted that city, they would have passed 204 years and 73 days before arriving at Chichen Itza. Now, all the historical dates of Quirigua lie between this last date and that of their arrival at Chichen Itza. Could the people of Piedras Negras have passed over to Quirigua and occupied that city during a part of this period of 204 years?[6]
Such speculations may not be of great value, but if they excite enough interest to induce a more thorough investigation, they will not be absolutely useless.
FOOTNOTES:
[1] The date of Stela D given by Goodman as 54. 9. 5. 5. 0. 0. is almost surely 54. 9. 15. 5. 0. 0.
[2] The dates 54. 13. 0. 0. 0. 0. and 54. 9. 1. 0. 0. 0. may well be traditional and not historical, and refer to a period lying far in the past.
[3] This date on Lintel 22 is very clear, but as it is the only one which I have seen, I omit it in the following discussion. If historical, it is earlier than the earliest date of Quirigua except that of the normal date 54. 13. 0. 0. 0. 0., 4 Ahau 8 Cumhu.