it may be stated that the Lower Chenab Canal is a comparatively new work, and that the duty has been steadily rising and, with the perfect watercourse system, may be relied on to reach the Upper Bari Doab Canal 234 acres per cusec in the course of time for water arriving at the heads of distributaries.

*******

“27. Summary of conclusions as to sufficiency of supply.—The following table shows all the foregoing results in a form readily admitting of comparison:—

Particulars.Period.Average
supply
in river.
Deduct
loss by
absorp-
tion.
Supply
at
heads
of
distribu-
taries.
Duty
calculated
on
1,321,019
acres,
the gross
rabi area.
Duty
calculated
on
1,164,595
acres,
the
perennial
area.
1st
to 15th
Octo-
ber.
16th
to 31st
Octo-
ber.
No-
vem-
ber.
De-
cem-
ber.
Janu-
ary.
Febru-
ary.
March.
Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.Cusecs.
Average Supplies available.
Very favourable years 1 in 4 - 21,40015,150 -11,8508,62611,200 - 13,10021,250 -11,8113,4148,397158139
(13.063)(13,063)(13,063)(13,063)
Ordinary years 2 in 4 - 13,900 -11,85010,0007,4007,6009,100 - 16,500 -9,9462,9896,957189167
13,06313,063
Dry years 1 in 410,1509,1007,2755,9505,6106,10011,3457,6512,5645,087259229
Minimum of 14 years9,7108,0036,6245,8105,5635,1639,7916,9682,4584,510293258
Requirements on average of Lower Chenab Canal for12,04512,1358,7296,7156,2676,5038,6258,1552,5645,591236208
Requirements on average of Upper Bari Doab Canal for 5 years12,92410,3056,8525,6075,2086,09010,3447,6192,5645,055261230

“The 13,063 shown in brackets represents the parts of the available supply which the canals can carry, the capacity being as follows:—

Cusecs.
Lower Jhelum Canal4,563
Upper Jhelum Canal8,500
Total13,063

“The average supplies and duty figures are based on the 13,063 cusec maximum capacity and not on the larger available supplies written above these figures where they occur.

“The above table goes to show the following:

(i) In order to utilize the large supplies available in the Jhelum River in October and March every year and in some or all of the intervening months in other years, it is advisable to give the Upper Jhelum Canal the large capacity of 8,500 cusecs proposed.

(ii) In favourable and ordinary years, that is, in 3 out of 4, the available supply will be ample, as shown by the low duties of 189 and 167 compared with those obtaining on the Lower Chenab and Upper Bari Doab Canals.