If the proportions of births in the whole kingdom had been the same as those occurring in average healthy districts—such as that of the town district of Hackney, for example, of 1 to 42—there would have been 139,958 births the less to make up for the excess of deaths.
The importance of the subject will justify the reference to other examples.
The commissioners for taking the census of Ireland have bestowed considerable labour to effect various improvements, with a view to determine more accurately the actual condition and progress of the population. They have attempted, amongst other improvements, to ascertain not merely the total number of houses, but the number of each description of houses in each district. From the want of any system of mortuary or birth registration in Ireland their attempts to ascertain correctly the proportions of deaths and births to the population appear to have been to some degree frustrated; and the return of the average age of death must be received as an approximation, giving higher than the real chances of life in that country. From the mode which the commissioners adopted of collecting the ages of the living, by taking the actual age of each individual with precautions, it appears probable that their returns on this head are more trustworthy than those obtained in England.
The proportions of births to the population obtained by the Census Commissioners in Ireland are, I conceive, below the real amount; the proportions of deaths are confessedly so. The proportions of deaths and several other results may however serve for comparison between one province and another and between one county and another. I have taken the following results from several of their tables, or have had them calculated from their data. I submit them as indications of the momentous public truths that still lie open for investigation, of which truths the most important are the extent of the operation of the causes of mortality, which can only be correctly ascertained on the spot by inquiries for a mortuary registration, by responsible officers of superior qualifications and intelligence as officers of health. The fractional numbers are omitted in the returns from the provinces.
| LEINSTER. | MUNSTER. | ULSTER. | CONNAUGHT. | IRELAND. | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RURAL. | TOWN. | RURAL. | TOWN. | RURAL. | TOWN. | RURAL. | TOWN. | RURAL. | TOWN. | |||||||||||
| Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | Houses. | Families. | |
| First Class houses | 2 | 2 | 24 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | ·5 | ·6 | 7 | 10 | 1·3 | 1·4 | 15·9 | 21· |
| “Good farm-houses, or in towns houses in a small street, having from 5 to 9 rooms and windows” | 21 | 21 | 37 | 39 | 13 | 13 | 44 | 49 | 21 | 21 | 56 | 60 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 33 | 16·8 | 17·2 | 43·6 | 46·6 |
| “A better description of cottage, still built of mud, but varying from 2 to 4 rooms and windows” | 47 | 46 | 23 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 30 | 25 | 45 | 45 | 23 | 21 | 39 | 39 | 36 | 33 | 41·9 | 41·7 | 26·8 | 21·7 |
| “All mud cabins having only one room” | 28 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 49 | 13 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 50 | 25 | 22 | 40· | 39·7 | 13·7 | 10·7 |
| Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | Males. | Females. | |
| Average age at death | 32· | 31·5 | 25· | 25·4 | 28·2 | 27· | 23·6 | 23·7 | 31·8 | 32· | 23·8 | 23·6 | 26·1 | 24·3 | 22·6 | 22·4 | 29·6 | 28·9 | 24·1 | 24·3 |
| \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | |||||||||||
| 32 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 32 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 29 | 24 | |||||||||||
| \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 27 | 31 | 24 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||
| Average term of premature loss of life as compared with the experience of Carlisle or the county of Hereford | 7 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 15 | ||||||||||
| \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | \/ | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| Annual proportion of deaths to the mean population | 1 in 32·3 | 1 in 29·5 | 1 in 31·1 | 1 in 28 | 1 in 30·3 | |||||||||||||||
| Average age of all who lived in 1841 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | |||||||||||||||
| Proportion of widows to every 100 of the population above 17 years old | 13 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 16 | ||||||||||
| Rate of increase on population since 1831 | 3·35 | 7·59 | 4·36 | 5·58 | 5·25 | |||||||||||||||
| Excess of number of births to every 10,000 of the population above the proportion of births in Hereford | 73 | 95 | 84 | 117 | 90 | |||||||||||||||
| Positive numbers of births in excess above the proportion of births in Hereford | 14,515 | 22,875 | 20,003 | 16,624 | 74,016 | |||||||||||||||
The proportion of widowhood (which would generally be attended by its proportion of orphanage) to the short duration of life in the worst conditioned districts is submitted as confirmatory of the principles expounded in the General Sanitary report on the condition of the labouring population in Great Britain. Vide p. 188, et seq.
Conformity of the rate of increase of population with the ages of the living and dying was not to be expected in the returns where the emigration from the different provinces is (probably) variable; but in the two provinces where the household condition appears to be the worst, and the proportion of mud cabins the greatest, there we find the mortality is the highest.
Where the pressure of the causes of mortality is the greatest; where the average age of death is the lowest, and the duration of life is the shortest, there the increase of population is the greatest. The proportion of children is great because life is short and the generation transient; the middle aged and the aged are swept away in large proportions; and marriages are disproportionately early. But, says a political economist in an essay in support of Mr. Malthus’s original view, “The effect of wars, plagues, and epidemic disorders, those terrible correctives, as they have been justly termed by Dr. Short, of the redundance of mankind on the principle of population, sets its operation in the most striking point of view. These scourges tend to place an old country in the situation of a colony. They lessen the number of inhabitants, without, in most cases, lessening the capital that is to feed and maintain them.” What I apprehend the actual facts when examined, place in a striking point of view, is the danger of adopting conclusions deeply affecting the interests of communities, on hypothetical reasonings, and without a careful investigation whether the facts sustain them: the facts themselves, when examined, show that (be it as it may with war) epidemic disorders do not lessen the number of inhabitants; and that they do in all cases that have been examined lessen the capital that is to feed and maintain them. They lessen the proportion of productive hands and increase the proportion of the helpless and dependent hands. They place every community, new or old, in respect to its productive economy in the position which the farmer will understand by the like effects of epidemics upon his cattle, when in order to raise one horse two colts must be reared, and the natural period of work of the one reared is, by disease and premature death, reduced by one-third or one-half. The exposition already given, vide General Report p. 176, et seq. p. 200, of the dreadful misery and disease-sustaining fallacy which erects pestilence into a good, is further illustrated by the effects of the proportions of the dependent populations of Ireland. Thus in England, the population above 15 and under 50 years of age in every ten thousand is 5025, and this five thousand have 3600 children below 15 years of age dependent upon them. In Ireland, the population above 15 years of age is 4900—in other words, there are 125 less of adults in every ten thousand; and this smaller proportion of living adults, with eight or ten years’ span less of life or working ability, have 4050, or four hundred and fifty more children dependent upon them. In England there are 1,365 persons in every ten thousand, or 13½ per cent. above 50 years old to exercise the influence of their age and experience upon the community. In Ireland there are only 10 per cent., or 1050 in every ten thousand of the population above 50 years of age.
It appears from a report which the Census Commissioners give on the sanitary condition of Dublin, that the mortality in the different localities of that city varies with their physical condition in the lower districts, and coincides with the description already cited in the general report, from the report of Dr. Speer, the physician to the Dublin Fever Hospital (vide General Sanitary Report, p. 96). The like consequences follow to the lower Irish population settled in the English towns with the like habits, which permit them to accumulate refuse round their dwellings, and live in an atmosphere compounded of the miasma of a pigsty and a privy, and the smoke of a chimney in a crowded room. The Census Commissioners of Ireland have endeavoured to obtain returns of the chief causes of the mortality; and it appears from the report upon them, that hitherto, notwithstanding all that has been said and written, that fever has returned nearly decennially in periods, irrespective of any general distress in that country, and has extended its ravages to classes who were exposed to the miasma, but who suffered no distress. “Cases of starvation,” it is stated, “have been registered from returns at almost every age, 79 of them took place in the rural district, or 1 death in 11,539 of the general mortality of the open country, and minor towns and villages: 18 in the civic, or 1 in 13,009 of the deaths in towns of or above 2000 people; and 20 occurred in hospitals; the patients having been admitted when suffering from want of food, or in such a destitute condition as subsequently produced death from exhaustion. Including the deaths in hospitals with those in the civic districts, to which they properly belong, it appears that the deaths from want and destitution in the larger towns have been 1 in 7240 to the total mortality of these places. During the first 5-year period, these deaths were on an average but 6 per annum, and in the last 5-year period (that ending June, 1841) they had increased to the yearly average of 18.”