Meanwhile astronomers and physicists have been gradually setting limits to geological time until they have now reached conclusions strikingly in contrast with those held by the mass of English geologists forty years ago. Mr. George H. Darwin, Professor of Mathematics at Cambridge University, has from a series of intricate calculations shown that between fifty and one hundred million years ago the earth was revolving from six to eight times faster than now, and that the moon then almost touched the earth, and revolved about it once every three or four hours. From this proximity of the moon to the earth, it would result that if the oceans had been then in existence the tides would have been two hundred times as great as now, creating a wave six hundred feet in height, which would sweep around the world every four hours. Such a condition of things would evidently be incompatible with geological life, and geology must limit itself to a period which is inside of 100,000,000 years. Sir William Thomson and Professor Tait, of Great Britain, and Professor Newcomb, of the United States Naval Observatory, approaching the question from another point of view, seem to demonstrate that the radiation of heat from the sun is diminishing at a rate such that ten or twelve million years ago it must have been so hot upon the earth’s surface as to vaporise all the water, and thus render impossible the beginning of geological life until later than that period. Indeed, they seem to prove by rigorous mathematical calculations that the total amount of heat originally possessed by the nebula out of which the sun has been condensed would only be sufficient to keep up the present amount of radiation for 18,000,000 years.
The late Dr. Croll, feeling the force of these astronomical conclusions, thought it possible to add sufficiently to the sun’s heat to extend its rule backwards approximately 100,000,000 years by the supposition of a collision with it of another moving body of near its own size. Professor Young and others have thought that possibly the heat of the sun might have been kept up by the aid of the impact of asteroids and meteorites for a period of 30,000,000 years. Mr. Wallace obtains similar figures by estimating the time required for the deposition of the stratified rocks open to examination upon the land surface of the globe. As a result of his estimates, it would appear that 28,000,000 years is all the time required for the formation of the geological strata. From all this it is evident that geologists are much more restricted in their speculations involving time than they thought themselves to be a half-century ago. Taking as our standard the medium results attained by Wallace, we shall find it profitable to see how this time can be portioned out to the geological periods, that we may ascertain how much approximately can be left for the Glacial epoch.
On all hands it is agreed that the geological periods decrease in length as they approach the present time. According to Dana’s estimates,[EU] the “ratio for the Palæozoic, Mesozoic, and Cenozoic periods would be 12:3:1”—that is, Cenozoic time is but one sixteenth of the whole. This embraces the whole of the Tertiary period, during which placental mammals have been in existence, together with the post-Tertiary or Glacial period, extending down to the present time; that is, the time since the beginning of the Tertiary period and the existence of the higher animals is considerably less than two million years, even upon Mr. Wallace’s basis of calculation. But if we should be compelled to accept the calculations of Sir William Thomson, Professor Tait, and Professor Newcomb, the Cenozoic period would be reduced to considerably less than one million years. It is difficult to tell how much of Cenozoic time is to be assigned to the Glacial period, since there is, in fact, no sharply drawn line between the two periods. The climax of the Glacial period represented a condition of things slowly attained by the changes of level which took place during the latter part of the Tertiary epoch.
[EU] See revised edition of his Geology, p. 586.
In order to estimate the degree of credibility with which we may at the outset regard the theory of Mr. Prestwich and others, that all the phenomena of the Glacial period can be brought within the limits of thirty or forty thousand years, it is important to fix our minds upon the significance of the large numbers with which we are accustomed to multiply and divide geological quantities.[EV]
[EV] See Croll’s Climate and Time, chap. xx.
Few people realise either the rapidity with which geological changes are now proceeding or the small amount of change which might produce a Glacial period, and fewer still have an adequate conception of how long a period a million years is, and how much present geological agencies would accomplish in that time. At the present rate at which erosive agencies are now acting upon the Alps, their dimensions would be reduced one half in a million years. At the present rate of the recession of the Falls of St. Anthony, the whole gorge from St. Louis to Minneapolis would have been produced in a million years. A river lowering its bed a foot in a thousand years would produce a cañon a thousand feet deep in a million years.
If we suppose the Glacial period to have been brought about by an elevation of land in northern America and northern Europe, proceeding at the rate of three feet a century, which is that now taking place in some portions of Scandinavia, this would amount to three thousand feet in one hundred thousand years, and that is probably all, and even more than all, which is needed. One hundred thousand years, therefore, or even less, might easily include both the slow coming on of the Glacial period and its rapid close. Prestwich estimates that the ice now floating away from Greenland as icebergs is sufficient if accumulating on a land-surface to extend the borders of a continental glacier about four hundred and fifty feet a year, or one mile in twelve years, one hundred miles in twelve hundred years, and seven hundred miles (about the limit of glacial transportation in America) in less than ten thousand years.
After making all reasonable allowances, therefore, Prestwich’s conclusion that twenty-five thousand years is ample time to allow to the reign of the ice of the Glacial period cannot be regarded as by any means incredible or, on a priori grounds, improbable.