Among the authoritative estimates of the number of feeble-minded, which have been made by estimators who had in mind the evidence from mental tests, is that made by James H. Van Sickle, Lightner Witmer, and Leonard P. Ayres in a bulletin published by the United States Bureau of Education in 1911 ([209]). They state that, “if all children of the public schools could be ranked, it is probable that a rough classification would group them about as follows—Talented, 4%; Bright, Normal, Slow, 92%; Feeble-Minded, 4%. The 4% may for administrative purposes be divided into two groups. The lower one includes about one-half of one per cent. of the entire school membership.... They are genuinely mentally deficient, and cannot properly be treated in the public schools. They are institution cases, and should be removed to institutions. Ranking just above these are the remaining three and one-half per cent. who are feeble-minded but who could be given a certain amount of training in special classes in the public schools.” The estimate of institutional cases practically coincides with that adopted above in this paper. The extension of the term feeble-minded to include the lowest 4% seems to be extreme. The authors do not suggest what portion of these they think might require social assistance indefinitely, but are interested primarily in provision for special classes in the public schools. If the term feeble-minded were to mean only unfit for regular school classes and not socially unfit, I have already suggested that the limit for special instruction might be increased indefinitely. In Mannheim 18% are not cared for in the regular classes.

The only estimate of feeble-minded which I have found that is so large as this 4% is that of Binet. It is also intended to cover all cases that should be sent to special classes regardless of subsequent social survival. His statement as to those who are so abnormal or defective as to be suitable for neither the ordinary school nor the asylum is as follows:

“As to France, precise information has not been available until the last year, when two inquiries were held—one at the instance of the Ministerial Commission, the other organized by the Minister of the Interior. According to the former inquiry we find that the proportion of defectives amounts to scarcely 1% for the boys, and 0.9% for the girls. These percentages are evidently far too small, and we ourselves have discovered, by a small private inquiry, that many schools returned “none” in the questionnaires distributed, although the headmasters have admitted to us that they possessed several genuine defectives. In Paris, M. Vaney, a headmaster, made some investigations by the arithmetic test, which we shall explain presently, and reached the conclusion that 2% of the school population of two districts were backward. If we were to include the ill-balanced, whose number is probably equal to that of the backward, the proportion would be about 4%. Lastly and quite recently a special and most careful inquiry was made at Bordeaux, under the direction of M. Thamin, by alienists and the school medical inspectors, and it was found that the percentage of abnormality amongst the boys was 5.17. Probably the true percentage is somewhere in the neighborhood of 5. All these inquiries are comparable because they deal with the school population” (77, p. 8).

In this estimate of 5%, Binet was considering those to be sent to special classes regardless of whether or not they would require indefinite social assistance after their schooling. It is therefore not directly comparable with our estimate of 1.5% presumably or doubtfully intellectually deficient.

The estimate of Dr. Henry H. Goddard, who has done the most to introduce the Binet Measuring Scale in this country, is stated as follows: “It is a conservative statement to declare that 2% of public school children are distinctly feeble-minded, the larger part of them belonging to this high-grade group which we call morons” ([118]). In another ([114]) place he says: “The most extensive study ever made of the children of an entire school system of two thousand has shown that 2% of such children are so mentally defective as to preclude any possibility of their ever being made normal and able to take care of themselves as adults.”[[9]] The study to which he refers gives individual results with the Binet 1908 tests made on 1547 school children in the first six grades (114, p. 43). Since the sixth grade does not include the better children who are twelve years or over in age this group is clearly selected in such a way that it would show an excessive percentage of mentally retarded children. We find in the investigation referred to that he says: “Then we come to those that are four years or more behind their age, and here again experience is conclusive that children who are four years behind are so far back that they can never catch up, or in other words, they are where they are because there is a serious difficulty which can never be overcome—they are feeble-minded. They constitute 3% of the children in these grades.”

Since we have a random selection of school children in his table for only those children who are 6 to 11 years of age inclusive, I find that only 1% at these ages are retarded four years intellectually. On his own basis, therefore, 3% is evidently too large an estimate. Later he seems to have reduced his estimate to 2% of the school population. Of those who test in the lowest 1.5% including our doubtful group, I believe that there is no clear evidence that more than 1% will require even social assistance as adults.

Many more estimates of the number of feeble-minded among school children might be cited, but they would add little to these authoritative samples. At the present time an estimate by health officers or teachers who are not familiar with the results of mental testing has little significance, as the whole complexion of the problem has been changed since the work of Binet and Simon.[[10]] We may, however, cite three estimates based upon familiarity with test results, which fairly cover the range of estimates among school children. In connection with the Springfield, Illinois, survey conducted by the National Committee for Mental Hygiene under the direction of the Russel Sage Foundation, we find that three typical schools with a total of 924 pupils were studied. The report states that “the mentally defective children” constituted 3.8% of the number in attendance in March. The number of children in the schools examined, for whom instruction in special classes would be desirable, is about 7% of the entire enrollment of these schools (203, p. 10).

In connection with the Stanford Version of the Binet Scale, Dr. Lewis M. Terman says: “Whenever intelligence tests have been made in any considerable number in the schools, they have shown that not far from 2% of the children enrolled have a grade of intelligence which, however long they live, will never develop beyond the level which is normal to the average child of 11 or 12 years.... The more we learn about such children, the clearer it becomes that they must be looked upon as real defectives (57, p. 10). Again in placing the borderline for feeble-mindedness” with the Intelligence Quotient used, he suggests that “definite feeble-mindedness” lies below an I. Q. of 70 which with 1000 quotients was found to exclude about the lowest 1%. Above this is a group with I. Q.'s 70-80 which he describes as “borderline deficiency, sometimes classifiable as dullness, often as feeble-mindedness.” This group would include, as judged by the results of these tests, over 4% more.

Dr. Wallin, who has had wide experience in testing both school children and defectives, states: “I will venture the assertion, after years of teaching in the public schools and clinically examining public school cases, that the oft-repeated statement that 2% of the general school population is defective (if by this is meant feeble-minded), exaggerates the real situation. The actual number is probably about 1%” (211, p. 149).

After reading a paper on “A Percentage Definition of Intellectual Deficiency” before the American Psychological Association in 1915 ([151]), I was pleased to discover that Prof. Rudolf Pintner and Donald G. Paterson were also about to propose a percentage definition of feeble-mindedness for those who are dealing with mental tests ([44]). While their idea seems to be fundamentally similar, their paper shows that their conception is to be sharply distinguished in several particulars from that which I am advocating. They would limit the use of the term “feeble-mindedness” to individuals who test in a rather arbitrarily chosen lowest percentage of the population. As opposed to this I suggest continuing the present social definition of feeble-mindedness and supplementing it, for the purpose of aiding in the diagnosis, by indicating the social significance of those testing in certain lowest percentages. Such tested deficients I designate as “intellectually deficient.” It is important to consider their statement and to note what percentage they have chosen to regard as feeble-minded. They say: