At present, geological estimates of time are little else than mere conjectures. Geological science has hitherto afforded no trustworthy means of estimating the positive length of geological epochs. Geological phenomena tell us most emphatically that these periods must be long; but how long they have hitherto failed to inform us. Geological phenomena represent time to the mind under a most striking and imposing form. They present to the eye, as it were, a sensuous representation of time; the mind thus becomes deeply impressed with a sense of immense duration; and when one under these feelings is called upon to put down in figures what he believes will represent that duration, he is very apt to be deceived. If, for example, a million of years as represented by geological phenomena and a million of years as represented by figures were placed before our eyes, we should certainly feel startled. We should probably feel that a unit with six ciphers after it was really something far more formidable than we had hitherto supposed it to be. Could we stand upon the edge of a gorge a mile and a half in depth that had been cut out of the solid rock by a tiny stream, scarcely visible at the bottom of this fearful abyss, and were we informed that this little streamlet was able to wear off annually only 1/10 of an inch from its rocky bed, what would our conceptions be of the prodigious length of time that this stream must have taken to excavate the gorge? We should certainly feel startled when, on making the necessary calculations, we found that the stream had performed this enormous amount of work in something less than a million of years.
If, for example, we could possibly form some adequate conception of a period so prodigious as one hundred millions of years, we should not then feel so dissatisfied with Sir W. Thomson’s estimate that the age of the earth’s crust is not greater than that.
Here is one way of conveying to the mind some idea of what a million of years really is. Take a narrow strip of paper an inch broad, or more, and 83 feet 4 inches in length, and stretch it along the wall of a large hall, or round the walls of an apartment somewhat over 20 feet square. Recall to memory the days of your boyhood, so as to get some adequate conception of what a period of a hundred years is. Then mark off from one of the ends of the strip 1/10 of an inch. The 1/10 of the inch will then represent one hundred years, and the entire length of the strip a million of years. It is well worth making the experiment, just in order to feel the striking impression that it produces on the mind.
The latter period, which we have concluded to be that of the glacial epoch, extended, as we have seen, over a period of 160,000 years. But as the glaciation was only on one hemisphere at a time, 80,000 years or so would represent the united length of the cold periods. In order to satisfy ourselves that this period is sufficiently long to account for all the amount of denudation effected during the glacial epoch, let us make some rough estimate of the probable rate at which the surface of the country would be ground down by the ice. Suppose the ice to grind off only one-tenth of an inch annually this would give upwards of 650 feet as the quantity of rock removed during the time. But it is probable that it did not amount to one-fourth part of that quantity. Whether one-tenth of an inch per annum be an over-estimate or an under-estimate of the rate of denudation by the ice, it is perfectly evident that the period in question is sufficiently long, so far as denudation is concerned, to account for the phenomena of the glacial epoch.
But admitting that the period under consideration is sufficiently long to account for all the denudation which took place during the glacial epoch, we have yet to satisfy ourselves that it is also sufficiently remote to account for all the denudation which has taken place since the glacial epoch. Are the facts of geology consistent with the idea that the close of the glacial epoch does not date back beyond 80,000 years?
This question could be answered if we knew the present rate of subaërial denudation, for the present rate evidently does not differ greatly from that which has obtained since the close of the glacial epoch.
CHAPTER XX.
GEOLOGICAL TIME.—METHOD OF MEASURING THE RATE OF SUBAËRIAL DENUDATION.
Rate of Subaërial Denudation a Measure of Time.—Rate determined from Sediment of the Mississippi.—Amount of Sediment carried down by the Mississippi; by the Ganges.—Professor Geikie on Modern Denudation.—Professor Geikie on the Amount of Sediment conveyed by European Rivers.—Rate at which the Surface of the Globe is being denuded.—Alfred Tylor on the Sediment of the Mississippi.—The Law which determines the Rate of Denudation.—The Globe becoming less oblate.—Carrying Power of our River Systems the true Measure of Denudation.—Marine Denudation trifling in comparison to Subaërial.—Previous Methods of measuring Geological Time.—Circumstances which show the recent Date of the Glacial Epoch.—Professor Ramsay on Geological Time.
It is almost self-evident that the rate of subaërial denudation must be equal to the rate at which the materials are carried off the land into the sea, but the rate at which the materials are carried off the land is measured by the rate at which sediment is carried down by our river systems. Consequently, in order to determine the present rate of subaërial denudation, we have only to ascertain the quantity of sediment annually carried down by the river systems.