§§ 1–3. (I.) Errors in judging of events after they have happened.
4–7. Very various judgments may be thus involved.
8, 9. (II.) Confusion between random and picked selections.
10, 11. (III.) Undue limitation of the notion of Probability.
12–16. (IV.) Double or Quits: the Martingale.
17, 18. Physical illustration.
19, 20. (V.) Inadequate realization of large numbers.
21–24. Production of works of art by chance.
25. Illustration from doctrine of heredity.
26–30. (VI.) Confusion between Probability and Induction.