A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities - marquis de Pierre Simon Laplace

NEW YORK:
JOHN WILEY & SONS.
London: CHAPMAN & HALL, Limited.
1902.

ROBERT DRUMMOND PRINTER, NEW YORK

TABLE OF CONTENTS.

	PAGE
PART I. A PHILOSOPHICAL ESSAY ON PROBABILITIES.
CHAPTER I.
Introduction	[1]
CHAPTER II.
Concerning Probability	[3]
CHAPTER III.
General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities	[11]
CHAPTER IV.
Concerning Hope	[20]
CHAPTER V.
Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities	[26]
PART II. APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES.
CHAPTER VI.
Games of Chance	[53]
CHAPTER VII.
Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal	[56]
CHAPTER VIII.
Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events	[60]
CHAPTER IX.
Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy	[73]
CHAPTER X.
Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences	[107]
CHAPTER XI.
Concerning the Probability of Testimonies	[109]
CHAPTER XII.
Concerning the Selections and Decisions of Assemblies	[126]
CHAPTER XIII.
Concerning the Probability of Testimonies	[132]
CHAPTER XIV.
Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage, and Some Associations	[140]
CHAPTER XV.
Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend upon the Probability of Events	[149]
CHAPTER XVI.
Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities	[160]
CHAPTER XVII.
Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty	[176]
CHAPTER XVIII.
Historical Notice of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816	[185]