[35]G. N. Lewis, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 11, 179-183, 422-428, 1925.
[36]P. W. Bridgman, Phys. Rev. 8, 423-431, 1916; "Dimensional Analysis," p. 105.
With regard to the general question of simple laws, there are at least two attitudes; one is that there are probably simple general laws still undiscovered, the other is that nature has a predilection for simple laws. I do not see how there can be any quarrel with the first of these attitudes. Let us examine the second. We have in the first place to notice that "simple" means simple to us, when stated in terms of our concepts. This is in itself sufficient to raise a presumption against this general attitude. It is evident that our thinking must follow those lines imposed by the nature of our thinking mechanism: does it seem likely that all nature accepts these same limitations? If this were the case, our conceptions ought to stand in certain simple and definite relations to nature. Now if our discussion has brought out any one thing, it is that our concepts are not well defined things, but they are hazy and do not fit nature exactly, and many of them fit even approximately only within restricted range. The task of finding concepts which shall adequately describe nature and at the same time be easily handled by us, that is, be simple, is the most important and difficult of physics, and we never achieve more than approximate and temporary success. Consider the example of time. The original concept of local time, which for long seemed satisfactory, turns out to be inadequate, and has to be replaced by extended time, which is so complicated that it is questionable whether we shall ever be able to grasp it with the confidence that we must demand in a useful concept (by "grasp" I mean intuitive command of all the implications of the operations which are involved). The concept has not yet been found which describes simply the temporal relations of the universe.
Not only are concepts hazy around the edges and so incapable of fitting nature exactly, but there is always the chance that there are concepts other than those which we have adopted which would fit our present phenomena. Finding concepts to fit nature is much like solving a cross-word puzzle. In the puzzle there may be some parts of the pattern which we fill completely and easily, but sometimes we find parts in which we can fill in everything except one or two obstinate definitions, so that we are sure we are on the right track, and rack our brains for the missing words, when with a flash of inspiration we see that the obstinate words can be fitted in by a complete change in those which we had already accepted. It may be that we are soon to witness a similar change in our concept of the nature of light. An important difference between the cross-word puzzle and nature is that we can never tell when we have filled in all the squares in any of the parts of nature's puzzle; there is always the possibility of new phenomena which our present scheme does not touch.
Considering, then, the nature of our conceptual material, it seems to me that the overwhelming presumption is against the laws of nature having any predisposition to simplicity as formulated in terms of our concepts (which is of course all that simplicity means), and the wonder is that there are apparently so many simple laws. There is this observation to be made about all the simple laws of nature that have hitherto been formulated; they apply only over a certain range. We have not extended the laws of gravitation to small bodies, nor have we found that our electrical laws will work on a cosmic scale. It does not seem so very surprising that over a limited domain, in which the most important phenomena are of a restricted type, the conduct of nature should follow comparatively simple rules.
A tempting question is whether there may not be some laws of nature that are really simple, without relation to our mode of formulation, such as the law of the inverse square. I leave it to the reader to decide whether this question has meaning. In this connection it is possibly significant that the average physicist is strangely reluctant to tamper with the inverse square law. I find in myself a lack of sympathy, which I cannot justify by any of the considerations of this essay, with attempts like the recent one of Swann,[37] for example, to explain a wide variety of hitherto obstinate effects by the assumption of slightly unequal departures from the inverse square law by the electrons and protons. Of course I hope that this feeling will turn out not to be prejudice, but will perhaps be justified by some such general observation as that a departure from the inverse square law so slight as by definition to be forever beyond detection by direct experiment is meaningless; but of this I am not at all sure.
[37]W. F. G. Swann, Phys. Rev., 25, 253, 1925.
We are now ready to consider the second respect in which nature may be simple, namely, because the material of which it is built may reduce to a few sorts of elements. In this discussion it will be convenient to consider also at the same time the more inclusive simplicity arising from simple laws acting on simple elements. The immediate question for us here is one of fact: does nature seem to be getting intrinsically simpler as we get toward small scale phenomena? There is much room for difference of opinion here; personally I feel that this expected simplicity is not in evidence, at least to the extent that we could desire. For instance, the fact that the electrons must have both electrical and mechanical properties is a straw in this direction.
It must also be remembered that a certain simulation of simplicity is inevitable as we approach the limits of experimental knowledge, whatever the actual structure of nature, for the mere reason that near the limit our possible experimental operations become fewer in number, and our concepts fewer also. The question which we are trying to answer has, therefore, its real meaning only in terms of the possible future. Do we believe that if we drive in our stakes at a certain point on our present frontiers, this point will gradually, as physics advances, become possessed of a continually richer experience, so that nature at this point will appear increasingly complicated? Or do we expect a termination of this process of expansion fairly soon? It seems to me that as a matter of experimental fact there is no doubt that the universe at any definite level is on the average becoming increasingly complicated, and that the region of apparent simplicity continually recedes. This, however, is not the opinion of all observers. Thus Bertrand Russell, in "What I Believe", page 10, writes, "Physical Science is then approaching the stage where it will be complete, and therefore uninteresting."
This is perhaps a particularly favorable epoch in the history of physics to urge the essential complexity of nature, because all our new quantum phenomena indicate a vast wealth of hitherto unsuspected relations on the very edge of the attainable. There is one aspect of quantum relations, as also of our ideas of the nature of the structure of the nucleus of the atom, which is particularly significant in this respect, namely, that we have to describe phenomena by statistical methods. Now a statistical method is used either to conceal a vast amount of actual ignorance, or else to smooth out the details of a vast amount of actual physical complication, most of which is unessential for our purposes. There can be no doubt of the amount of ignorance that the statistical method conceals when applied to these phenomena, but there are also strong indications, particularly when applied to the nucleus, that it covers a vast amount of actual physical complications. The nucleus of a radium atom becomes unstable on the average every 104 years, which may be plausibly taken to indicate that every 104 years the radium nucleus gets itself into some particular configuration. Considering the time scale on which we suppose events in the atom to take place, and also considering the fact that radioactive disintegration seems unaffected by outside agencies, this would indicate a perfectly appalling amount of structure. We are similarly driven to statistical methods in quantum theory, as for example, in Einstein's analysis of the details of equilibrium between emitting and absorbing atoms and radiation.