But now if the equations of motion of the parts of the system are not those of mechanics, they will in general be much more complicated in appearance and will involve higher derivatives of the time than the second. Suppose for the moment that the equations contain only derivatives and the mutual positions of the parts of the system. Then to integrate the equations and determine the motion we have to know the initial positions and the initial values of all the derivatives up to an order one lower than the highest which occurs in the equations. The equations of motion of an electron are even more complicated than this, in that the positions of distant parts of the system have to be given throughout an interval of time instead of merely an instant. It would seem that the feeling that the present state of a system may be determined in terms of positions and velocities does not as a matter of fact apply to all the systems of our experience.
The discussion up to this point has been subject to the fundamental assumption that the behavior of the system is entirely determined if we can give the position of each part as a function of time. This assumption is implicitly contained in Einstein's formulation of the general principle of relativity, namely, that there is nothing more to a physical system than a set of space-time coincidences, and that the system is fixed in terms of the space time coördinates of all its parts. Already in discussing the assumption of relativity we have indicated reasons for dissatisfaction with this as a means of reproducing all experience, because in giving only the space-time coordinates of events we have entirely omitted the descriptive background of the equations, which gives physical color to the system in question. This discussion also assumes that a specification of the positions, velocities, and higher derivatives (if necessary) of the elements of the system is possible, which amounts essentially to the assumption that the system contains only a finite number of elements. Now in view of the experimental fact that there is no reason for supposing that the structure of the universe is finite, this conclusion must be modified, but I do not believe that the necessary modification affects the essential argument. In view of the possible infinite structure it would seem that we cannot expect more than that the future is determined by the present within a certain penumbra of uncertainty, and this penumbra may be made less important by digging down deeper into the structure when specifying the present condition.
We have also slurred over the ambiguities in "present" condition when the system is spread over space. Probably a unique ascription of meaning to "present" is not possible for an extended system, but at least one possibility is indicated by relativity theory. Imagine a staff of assistants distributed throughout space, each equipped with clocks synchronized and set with the master clock by light signals in the conventional manner, and each fully equipped with the necessary measuring instruments. Then what we mean at this point of the argument by "present" state of the system is the aggregate of all the information about the positions and velocities of the ultimate elements which I determine in my immediate vicinity at my origin of time plus the reports of similar observations made by all the assistants, each local observation being made at the time origin of each local clock.
Going back now to the main argument, we have shown that the feeling that the present condition of the universe may be specified in terms of positions and velocities arose from experience with purely mechanical systems, and that the more general formulation, in which we add to the velocities the higher time derivatives, applies only to systems in which the ultimate elements move according to differential equations of higher order than the second. Furthermore, our analysis seems to have shown that systems in which there is radiation do not allow a determination of the future in terms of a present condition specified in terms such as these. It seems, however, that the general principle of the determinism of the future by the present may be saved by a change in the definition of what we mean by the present condition of the system, ridding it of its mechanical and other special implications, and making more immediate connection with direct experiment. Let us understand by present condition of a system the aggregate of all information that can be obtained by any physical means whatever, with any sort of physical instrument, not attempting to get out of this analysis information about hypothetical ultimate physical elements, with the proviso that the measurements are to be made now, extending the concept of "now" to points distant in space in the way intimated above. With such a general definition of the meaning of "present" we can now deal with systems in which there is radiation, noticing that our assistant observers must be stationed throughout apparently empty space as well as in the neighborhood of matter. That this does adequately cover the case of radiation is suggested by considering again the two systems of dark lanterns with screens and distant mirrors which we have previously considered, in one system a light signal having been despatched 0.5 second ago and in the other 1.5 seconds ago. Our thesis demands that there be some present difference in these two systems, because their future history is different, in one of them a light signal arriving after the lapse of 1.5 seconds, and in the other after only 0.5 second. Now there is a present difference as reported by our assistants, for the assistant stationed half way between lantern and mirror reports in one system a flash of light on the side of a screen which is turned toward the lantern, and in the other system on the side of the screen turned toward the mirror.
This more general point of view answers the question whether velocity may be regarded as a present attribute of the system, for the parts of a system which are in motion have momentum, and momentum may be detected by placing against such parts comparatively rigid members which will receive a minute deformation, so that velocity has a meaning in terms of physical measurements made at a single instant of time.
There is a subtle and difficult question here, namely, whether in talking about operations of measurement we can ever get rid of temporal implications, and therefore, whether a condition of the system in which temporal implications remain can properly be described as "present." I shall not attempt to answer this question: there must be some practically satisfying answer, involving perhaps the physical analogue of differentials of different orders in mathematics, short of carrying the analysis to such a degree of refinement that the concept of present becomes meaningless, as we can see might easily happen.
With this enlarged understanding of what we mean by present state of the system, it seems to me that physical evidence is now rather favorable to the view that the present determines the future, subject to qualification about the penumbra, at least as far as large scale phenomena are concerned. It appears much more doubtful when we come to small scale phenomena, and in particular it is doubtful whether the principle can be applied to the details of the quantum process, and in fact it is not certain that it has meaning. It is certain that if it is true an enormous amount of structure beyond any that has yet been detected is implied.
ON THE POSSIBILITY OF DESCRIBING NATURE
COMPLETELY IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS
There is a certain thesis that is loosely related to the view that nature is finite downward, namely, that an explanation of the universe is possible in which we start with small scale things, and explain large scale phenomena in terms of their small scale constituents, the thesis, in other words, that all the properties of the large are contained in the properties of the small and that the large may be constructed out of the small. Some such thesis as this seems implied in the general attitude of many physicists. Let us examine the physical basis for this. To maintain this thesis would demand that aggregates of things never acquire properties in virtue of their numbers which they do not already possess as individuals. Is this true? Consider, for example, the two-dimensional geometry on the surface of a sphere. This is non-Euclidean. Is the geometry of the individual elements of the surface of the sphere non-Euclidean, or do they acquire this property in changing scale? Is the kinetic energy of a number of electrons all moving together in such a way as to constitute an electric current the sum of the kinetic energies of the individual electrons, or is there an additional term? Is the mass of an electron the sum of the masses of its elements?
A mathematical consideration is suggestive here. Those properties of a system which can be described in terms of linear differential equations have the property of additivity; the effect of a number of elements is the sum of the effects separately, and no new properties appear in the aggregate which were not present in the individual elements. But if there are combination terms (as in the electrical energy, which contains the square of the field), then the sum is more than (or different from) its parts, and new effects may appear in the aggregate. Now of course the linear equation is of enormous importance in describing nature, but many examples of systems with other types of equation can be found, as that above for electromagnetic mass. In expecting to find in nature such non-additive effects, we need not commit ourselves at all to the view that nature is governed by differential equations, but by analogy may expect similar effects if difference equations, for instance, should prove to be fundamental, or even something beyond present mathematical formulation.