As rational science does not rest content with raw results, it now becomes obligatory, by marshaling the facts to suitable discussion, to seek to find out what they mean. Now, so soon as we scan these phenomena for some self-interpretation, we perceive one characteristic of the lines which at once appears to direct us to their nature and justifies itself as a signpost with increasing certainty as we read on. This trait is the very simple yet most significant one of showing intrinsic change: the lines alter in visibility with time. This primary proclivity we do not even need the cartouches to establish. That the lines change is palpable to any one who will watch them long enough. Schiaparelli was struck by the fact early in his study of the planet, and it forces itself on the notice of any careful observer who compares his own observations with one another at intervals. But though the cartouches are not needed to a first revelation of mutability, they serve to certify and precise it to much further information on the subject. For, that these changes are not extrinsic, that is, are not caused by varying definition, distance, or illumination, they make patent even to those who have never seen the things themselves by disclosing respective differences of behavior in lines similarly circumstanced optically. The change is therefore intrinsic, and the question arises to what can such intrinsic change be due.

In searching for cause, attention is at once attracted by another series of transmutations that manifests itself upon the disk, in the orderly melting of the polar caps. For the existence of the two sets of metamorphoses suggests the possibility of a connection between them. The inference is strengthened when we note that not only are both periodic, but that furthermore the period of the two is the same. Each polar cap runs through its gamut of change in a Martian year; the canals also complete their cycle of growth and decay in a Martian twelvemonth. The only difference between the two is that each polar cap has but one maximum and one minimum in the course of this time, while most of the canals have two of each, though the maxima are not alike nor the minima either.

Not only is the period of the two series of changes the same, but the one follows the other. For the development of the canals does not begin till the melting of the polar cap is well under way. Now, as the polar cap disintegrates it gives rise, as we have seen, to a dark belt of blue-green which fringes its outer edge and retreats with it as it shrinks. This tells, directly or indirectly, of a product let loose. After this belt has been formed the canals nearest to it proceed to darken, then those a little farther off follow suit, and so the wave of visibility rolls in regular routine down the disk. Here, then, at the outset we have a chronic connection between the two phenomena, the disintegration of the cap and the integration of the canals.

Of water we saw that the caps were undoubtedly composed, and to water, then, let loose by the melting of the cap, we may inferably ascribe the thaumaturgy in the development of the canals. But it is not necessary to suppose that this is done directly. That the increased visibility of the canals can be due to a bodily transference of water seems doubtful, if for no other reason than the delay in the action. Considerable time intervenes between the disappearance of the cap and the appearance of the canals, except in the case of such as have been covered by it. Transformation consequent upon transference, however, would account for hesitancy. A quickening to vegetal growth would produce the counterpart of what we see. If, set free from the winter locking up, the water accumulated in the cap then percolated equatorward, starting vegetation in its course, this would cause the increased visibility of the canals and at the same time explain the seeming delay, by allowing for the time necessary for this vegetation to sprout. This is certainly the most satisfactory explanation of the phenomena.

Thus started, the vegetal quickening would pass down the planet’s surface and give rise to what we mark as seasonal change. But, though in one sense of seasonal character, a little consideration will show that it would be quite unlike the seasonal change which we know on earth.

Could we see our earth from some standpoint in space, we should mark, with the advent of spring, a wave of verdure sweep over its face. If freedom from cloud permitted of an unimpeded view, this flush of waking from winter’s sleep would be quite evident and could be seen to spread. Starting from the equator so soon as the sun turned north, it, too, would travel northward, and, distancing the sun, arrive by midsummer well into the arctic zone. Here, then, we should note, much as we note it on Mars, a tint of blue-green superpose itself successively upon the ochre ground; but the mundane and the Martian vegetal awakening would differ in one fundamental respect; the earthly wave would be seen to travel from equator to pole, while the Arian travels from pole to equator. Though clearly seasonal in character, both of them, the transformations would be opposite in action. Some other cause, then, must be at work from what we are familiar with on earth. This other cause is the presence or absence of moisture.

Two factors are necessary to the begetting of vegetal life, the raw material and the reacting agent. Oxygen, nitrogen, water, and a few salts make up the first desideratum, the sun supplies the second. Unless both be present, the quickening to life never comes. Now, the one may be there and the other not, or the other there and the one not. On earth the material including water is, except in certain destitute localities, always present; the sun it is that periodically withdraws. Observant upon the return of the sun is therefore the annual recurrence of vegetal growth.

On Mars, on the contrary, water is lacking. This we now know conclusively from other phenomena the disk presents which have no connection with the present investigation and are, therefore, unprejudiced witnesses to the fact. No permanent bodies of water stud its surface. That the so-called seas are traversed by dark lines permanent in place is one of several proofs of this. The only surface water the planet knows comes from the melting of its polar caps. Vegetation cannot start until this water reaches it. Consequently, though the sun be ready, vegetation must wait upon the coming of the water, and starting from near the pole follow the frugal flood equatorward.

Phenology Curves—Earth.
* = Dead Point of Vegetation.