Fig. 7. The Mass-luminosity Curve.

The horizontal scale refers to mass, but it is graduated according to the logarithm of the mass. At the extreme left the mass is about ⅙ x sun, and on the extreme right about 30 x sun; there are very few stars with masses outside these limits. The sun’s mass corresponds to the division labelled 0·0.

Having obtained our theoretical curve, the first thing to do is to test it by observation. That is to say, we gather together as many stars as we can lay hands on for which both the mass and absolute brightness have been measured. We plot the corresponding points (opposite to the appropriate horizontal and vertical graduations) and see whether they fall on the curve, as they ought to do if the theory is right. There are not many stellar masses determined with much precision. Everything that is reasonably trustworthy has been included in [Fig. 7]. The circles, crosses, squares, and triangles refer to different kinds of data—some good, some bad, some very bad.

The circles are the most trustworthy. Let us run through them from right to left. First comes the bright component of Capella, lying beautifully on the curve—because I drew the curve through it. You see, there was one numerical constant which in the present state of our knowledge of atoms and ether-waves, &c., it was not possible to determine with any confidence from pure theory. So the curve when it was obtained was loose in one direction and could be raised or lowered. It was anchored by making it pass through the bright component of Capella which seemed the best star to trust to for this purpose. After that there could be no further tampering with the curve. Continuing to the left we have the fainter component of Capella; next Sirius; then, in a bunch, two components of α Centauri (the nearest fixed star) with the Sun between them, and—lying on the curve—a circle representing the mean of six double stars in the Hyades. Finally, far on the left there are two components of a well-known double star called Krueger 60.

The observational data for testing the curve are not so extensive and not so trustworthy as we could wish; but still I think it is plain from [Fig. 7] that the theory is substantially confirmed, and it really does enable us to predict the brightness of a star from its mass, or vice versa. That is a useful result, because there are thousands of stars of which we can measure the absolute brightness but not the mass, and we can now infer their masses with some confidence.

Since I have not been able to give here the details of the calculation, I should make it plain that the curve in [Fig. 7] is traced by pure theory or terrestrial experiment except for the one constant determined by making it pass through Capella. We can imagine physicists working on a cloud-bound planet such as Jupiter who have never seen the stars. They should be able to deduce by the method explained on [p. 25] that if there is a universe existing beyond the clouds it is likely to aggregate primarily into masses of the order a thousand quadrillion tons. They could then predict that these aggregations will be globes pouring out light and heat and that their brightness will depend on the mass in the way given by the curve in [Fig. 7]. All the information that we have used for the calculations would be accessible to them beneath the clouds, except that we have stolen one advantage over them in utilizing the bright component of Capella. Even without this forbidden peep, present-day physical theory would enable them to assign a brightness to the invisible stellar host which would not be absurdly wrong. Unless they were wiser than us they would probably ascribe to all the stars a brilliance about ten times too great[7]—not a bad error for a first attempt at so transcendent a problem. We hope to clear up the discrepant factor 10 with further knowledge of atomic processes; meanwhile we shelve it by fixing the doubtful constant by astronomical observation.

[Dense Stars]

The agreement of the observational points with the curve is remarkably close, considering the rough nature of the observational measurements; and it seems to afford a rather strong confirmation of the theory. But there is one awful confession to make—we have compared the theory with the wrong stars. At least when the comparison was first made at the beginning of 1924 no one entertained any doubt that they were the wrong stars.

We must recall that the theory was developed for stars in the condition of a perfect gas. In the right half of [Fig. 7] the stars represented are all diffuse stars; Capella with a mean density about equal to that of the air in this room may be taken as typical. Material of this tenuity is evidently a true gas, and in so far as these stars agree with the curve the theory is confirmed. But in the left half of the diagram we have the Sun whose material is denser than water, Krueger 60 denser than iron, and many other stars of the density usually associated with solid or liquid matter. What business have they on the curve reserved for a perfect gas? When these stars were put into the diagram it was not with any expectation that they would agree with the curve; in fact, the agreement was most annoying. Something very different was being sought for. The idea was that the theory might perhaps be trusted on its own merits with such confirmation as the diffuse stars had already afforded; then by measuring how far these dense stars fell below the curve we should have definite information as to how great a deviation from a perfect gas occurred at any given density. According to current ideas it was expected that the sun would fall three or four magnitudes below the curve, and the still denser Krueger 60 should be nearly ten magnitudes below.[8] You see that the expectation was entirely unfulfilled.