dLog[P] = dLog[P]* - 0.1 Log[ u / u* ]

would give an expectations augmented form, and when u = u* then expectations will be fulfilled, and LE = LS (1 - u*).

It is useful to note that above model does not yet contain an explicit reaction function of the monetary authorities with regarding to inflation. Money can be fixed or chosen to grow at a predetermined rate. In practice there will be a flexible reaction, and then part of the ‘Phillipscurve regression between dLog[P] and u’ will reflect that reaction function.

Macro-economic interactions

The textbook relations are simple in themselves, but the interactions already can be rather complicated. Figure 18 presents some common macro-economic interactions.

Figure 18: Some macro-economic interactions

The influence of income in that figure is stated in terms of growth dLog[YR], [76] and the influence of prices is stated in terms of inflation dLog[P]. Positive transmissions are in black and explained in Table 5, negative transmissions are dashed in red and explained in Table 6.

Table 5: Positive impulses

Positive Cause Prime effect Then Then again
YR P growth increases demand adds to inflation
u DEF more unemployment less income, less tax revenue more expenditure on benefits higher deficit
P i more inflation the Central Bank (CB) raises interest rates to fight it possibly, though, inflation means more profits and a reduced demand on loans and thus a lower rate of interest: but then the CB will maintain the level of interest
i DEF higher interest rates the government has a higher interest bill higher deficit
DEF i a higher deficit more demand for loans, more supply of bonds thus a higher rate of interest
DEF YR a higher deficit sustained expenditure and thus sustained growth (at least by that channel)