We use the term “Equilibrium Rate of Unemployment” (ERU) for that rate of unemployment that causes wages to adjust to their equilibrating or market clearing level
° = (W° /W[-1] - 1). The CWIRU might be a special kind of ERU. The idea is that once inflation has been constant for a long while, you start expecting it. Table 8 contains an overview of the concepts.
Table 8: Concepts for wage inflation
|
| REH: white noise surprise | Non-REH: other surprises |
CWIRU
| uf = ERU[FE] | CWIRU = ERU[REH] = ERU[FE] | Maybe temporarily, but impossible in the long run |
Other | CWIRU = ERU[REH] | Maybe temporarily, but impossible in the long run | |
Non-CWIRU
| uf = ERU[FE] |
|
|
Other | ERU[REH] | No equilibrium in any of these senses |
Note: We use ° to indicate market clearing equilibrium, and * or E[.] for expectations
and expectational equilibrium. We use · when we allow for either.
We can recognise at least two equilibria:
· FE: full employment, when all labour resources are used except for friction unemployment uf = ERU[FE]. Normally
= 