In Italy, France, Switzerland, Germany, and Russia the plague has existed so long and has gained such a foothold that it is economically impossible to fight it with the American methods of slaughter and disinfection, for to do so would kill a large percentage of the live stock of those countries. In consequence, little or no progress toward eradication has been made by the authorities, though the severity of the disease in France appears to have abated somewhat in recent months.
The outbreak which appeared in Germany in 1888 increased steadily until 1892, when it diminished gradually for a few years, but the disease again reached great proportions in 1899. Thereafter it continued to exist to a greater or less extent until in 1911 it attained a virulence unequaled before. In that year 3,366,369 cattle, 1,602,927 sheep, 2,555,371 hogs, and 53,674 goats were affected. At that time the total number of cattle, sheep, swine, and goats in Germany was only 51,319,000, while there were in the United States 172,572,000, or between three and four times as many. It can readily be imagined, therefore, what it would mean to the United States if the disease were to gain the foothold here that it had in Germany, where, as these figures show, approximately one out of seven of the animals susceptible to the disease was affected.
The German Government, of course, has not left the disease to itself. It attempted to control some outbreaks by the method of slaughter, but the pestilence had gained too much headway and was too firmly established in too many portions of the country for this method to succeed, and the slaughter of the infected herds had to be abandoned. It now appears that there is no hope of getting rid of it until the virus has worn itself out. As soon as the animals' period of acquired immunity is over and favorable conditions present themselves, the contagion breaks out with renewed virulence. It has been impossible to control it by means of quarantines. One scientist has asserted that unless all the infected farms were absolutely isolated and the movement, not only of live stock but of persons, absolutely prohibited, the disease could not be stamped out. Such a quarantine is, of course, utterly impossible to enforce. In portions of Germany the farmers, realizing that the disease is inevitable, make haste to be done with it by exposing their stock deliber ately to mild cases in the hope that this will result in an immediate, mild attack and immunity for several years thereafter. Such immunity, however, is very uncertain.
Great Britain, Denmark, Norway, and Sweden, on account of their comparatively isolated positions, have been more successful in keeping out the disease. The outbreaks in those countries have been more sporadic, and by resorting to immediate slaughter the authorities have been able to stamp them out. Great Britain has applied both quarantine and slaughter for many years, and in an outbreak near Dublin in 1912 measures were adopted which were even more stringent than any that have been used in the United States. A British official (Cope) asserted in 1899 that after his country's experience with this disease it was "more dreaded by the farmers and stock raisers of Great Britain than cattle plague or pleuropneumonia, and they are now willing and ready to put up with any restrictions, of however drastic a character, considered necessary by the central department to stamp it out." The British authorities have succeeded in suppressing each outbreak, but reinfection often occurs from the neighboring continent. At the present time (April, 1922) Great Britain is having a siege of the disease, but is applying vigorous measures for its suppression.
In November, 1906, the disease reached Belgium from France, where it was quite prevalent, and by the end of the year every Province in Belgium was affected, and the Netherlands as well. Efforts to eradicate it from Belgium were unavailing. The Netherlands apparently succeeded in stamping it out for about six months, but it reappeared there.
The disease is also more or less prevalent in Central Europe, Spain, and in the Balkan countries.
Australia and New Zealand have remained free from it.
We have less accurate information regarding Asia and Africa, but the disease is known to prevail in Japan and China and in the Philippine Islands, and it is doubtful whether any considerable part of the Orient is free from it.
In South America it is reported as common in Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay, and it probably exists in other countries.
Canada and Mexico are fortunately free from the disease.