Qatar
Qatar has experienced rapid economic growth over the last
several years on the back of high oil prices, and in 2008 posted its
eighth consecutive budget surplus. Economic policy is focused on
developing Qatar's nonassociated natural gas reserves and increasing
private and foreign investment in non-energy sectors, but oil and
gas still account for more than 50% of GDP, roughly 85% of export
earnings, and 70% of government revenues. Oil and gas have made
Qatar the second highest per-capita income country - following
Liechtenstein - and one of the world's fastest growing. Proved oil
reserves of 15 billion barrels should enable continued output at
current levels for 37 years. Qatar's proved reserves of natural gas
are nearly 26 trillion cubic meters, about 14% of the world total
and third largest in the world. The drop in oil prices in late 2008
and the global financial crisis will reduce Qatar's budget surplus
and may slow the pace of investment and development projects in 2009.
Romania
Romania, which joined the European Union on 1 January 2007,
began the transition from Communism in 1989 with a largely obsolete
industrial base and a pattern of output unsuited to the country's
needs. The country emerged in 2000 from a punishing three-year
recession thanks to strong demand in EU export markets. Domestic
consumption and investment have fueled strong GDP growth in recent
years, but have led to large current account imbalances. Romania's
macroeconomic gains have only recently started to spur creation of a
middle class and address Romania's widespread poverty. Corruption
and red tape continue to handicap its business environment.
Inflation rose in 2007-08, driven in part by strong consumer demand
and high wage growth, rising energy costs, a nation-wide drought
affecting food prices, and a relaxation of fiscal discipline.
Romania's strong GDP growth moderated markedly in the last quarter
of 2008 as the country began to feel the effects of a global
downturn in financial markets and trade, and growth is expected to
be much weaker in 2009. Romania hopes to adopt the euro by 2014.
Russia Russia ended 2008 with GDP growth of 5.6%, following 10 straight years of growth averaging 7% annually since the financial crisis of 1998. Over the last six years, fixed capital investment growth and personal income growth have averaged above 10%, but both grew at slower rates in 2008. Growth in 2008 was driven largely by non-tradable services and domestic manufacturing, rather than exports. During the past decade, poverty and unemployment declined steadily and the middle class continued to expand. Russia also improved its international financial position, running balance of payments surpluses since 2000. Foreign exchange reserves grew from $12 billion in 1999 to almost $600 billion by end July 2008, which include $200 billion in two sovereign wealth funds: a reserve fund to support budgetary expenditures in case of a fall in the price of oil and a national welfare fund to help fund pensions and infrastructure development. Total foreign debt is almost one-third of GDP. The state component of foreign debt has declined, but commercial short-term debt to foreigners has risen strongly. These positive trends began to reverse in the second half of 2008. Investor concerns over the Russia-Georgia conflict, corporate governance issues, and the global credit crunch in September caused the Russian stock market to fall by roughly 70%, primarily due to margin calls that were difficult for many Russian companies to meet. The global crisis also affected Russia's banking system, which faced liquidity problems. Moscow responded quickly in early October 2008, initiating a rescue plan of over $200 billion that was designed to increase liquidity in the financial sector, to help firms refinance foreign debt, and to support the stock market. The government also unveiled a $20 billion tax cut plan and other safety nets for society and industry. Meanwhile, a 70% drop in the price of oil since mid-July further exacerbated imbalances in external accounts and the federal budget. In mid-November, mini-devaluations of the currency by the Central Bank caused increased capital flight and froze domestic credit markets, resulting in growing unemployment, wage arrears, and a severe drop in production. Foreign exchange reserves dropped to around $435 billion by end 2008, as the Central Bank defended an overvalued ruble. In the first year of his term, President MEDVEDEV outlined a number of economic priorities for Russia including improving infrastructure, innovation, investment, and institutions; reducing the state's role in the economy; reforming the tax system and banking sector; developing one of the biggest financial centers in the world, combating corruption, and improving the judiciary. The Russian government needs to diversify the economy further, as energy and other raw materials still dominate Russian export earnings and federal budget receipts. Russia's infrastructure requires large investments and must be replaced or modernized if the country is to achieve broad-based economic growth. Corruption, lack of trust in institutions, and more recently, exchange rate uncertainty and the global economic crisis continue to dampen domestic and foreign investor sentiment. Russia has made some progress in building the rule of law, the bedrock of a modern market economy, but much work remains on judicial reform. Moscow continues to seek accession to the WTO and has made some progress, but its timeline for entry into the organization continues to slip, and the negotiating atmosphere has soured in the wake of the Georgia and global economic crises.
Rwanda
Rwanda is a poor rural country with about 90% of the
population engaged in (mainly subsistence) agriculture. It is the
most densely populated country in Africa and is landlocked with few
natural resources and minimal industry. Primary foreign exchange
earners are coffee and tea. The 1994 genocide decimated Rwanda's
fragile economic base, severely impoverished the population,
particularly women, and eroded the country's ability to attract
private and external investment. However, Rwanda has made
substantial progress in stabilizing and rehabilitating its economy
to pre-1994 levels, although poverty levels are higher now. GDP has
rebounded and inflation has been curbed. Despite Rwanda's fertile
ecosystem, food production often does not keep pace with population
growth, requiring food imports. Rwanda continues to receive
substantial aid money and obtained IMF-World Bank Heavily Indebted
Poor Country (HIPC) initiative debt relief in 2005-06. Rwanda also
received Millennium Challenge Account Threshold status in 2006. The
government has embraced an expansionary fiscal policy to reduce
poverty by improving education, infrastructure, and foreign and
domestic investment and pursuing market-oriented reforms, although
energy shortages, instability in neighboring states, and lack of
adequate transportation linkages to other countries continue to
handicap growth.
Saint Barthelemy
The economy of Saint Barthelemy is based upon
high-end tourism and duty-free luxury commerce, serving visitors
primarily from North America. The luxury hotels and villas host
70,000 visitors each year with another 130,000 arriving by boat. The
relative isolation and high cost of living inhibits mass tourism.
The construction and public sectors also enjoy significant
investment in support of tourism. With limited fresh water
resources, all food must be imported, as must all energy resources
and most manufactured goods. Employment is strong and attracts labor
from Brazil and Portugal.
Saint Helena
The economy depends largely on financial assistance
from the UK, which amounted to about $27 million in FY06/07 or more
than twice the level of annual budgetary revenues. The local
population earns income from fishing, raising livestock, and sales
of handicrafts. Because there are few jobs, 25% of the work force
has left to seek employment on Ascension Island, on the Falklands,
and in the UK.
Saint Kitts and Nevis
The economy of Saint Kitts and Nevis is
heavily dependent upon tourism revenues, which has replaced sugar,
the traditional mainstay of the economy until the 1970s. Following
the 2005 harvest, the government closed the sugar industry after
decades of losses of 3-4% of GDP annually. To compensate for
employment losses, the government has embarked on a program to
diversify the agricultural sector and to stimulate other sectors of
the economy, such as tourism, export-oriented manufacturing, and
offshore banking. Economic growth was above average for Latin
America from 2004 to 2006, but has since slowed. Like other tourist
destinations in the Caribbean, the St. Kitts and Nevis is vulnerable
to damage from natural disasters and shifts in tourism demand. The
current government is constrained by a high public debt burden
equivalent to nearly 185% of GDP by the end of 2006, largely
attributable to public enterprise losses.
Saint Lucia
The island nation has been able to attract foreign
business and investment, especially in its offshore banking and
tourism industries, with a surge in foreign direct investment in
2006, attributed to the construction of several tourism projects.
Although crops such as bananas, mangos, and avocados continue to be
grown for export, tourism provides Saint Lucia's main source of
income and the industry is the island's biggest employer. The
tourism sector is likely to face declining revenues with the global
economic downturn as US and European travel declines. The
manufacturing sector is the most diverse in the Eastern Caribbean
area, and the government is trying to revitalize the banana
industry, although recent hurricanes have caused exports to
contract. Saint Lucia is vulnerable to a variety of external shocks
including volatile tourism receipts, natural disasters, and
dependence on foreign oil. The public debt-to-GDP ratio is about 70%
and high debt servicing obligations constrain the KING
administration's ability to respond to adverse external shocks.
Economic fundamentals remain solid, even though unemployment needs
to be reduced.
Saint Martin
The economy of Saint Martin centers around tourism with
85% of the labor force engaged in this sector. Over one million
visitors come to the island each year with most arriving through the
Princess Juliana International Airport in Sint Maarten. No
significant agriculture and limited local fishing means that almost
all food must be imported. Energy resources and manufactured goods
are also imported, primarily from Mexico and the United States.
Saint Martin is reported to have the highest per capita income in
the Caribbean.
Saint Pierre and Miquelon
The inhabitants have traditionally earned
their livelihood by fishing and by servicing fishing fleets
operating off the coast of Newfoundland. The economy has been
declining, however, because of disputes with Canada over fishing
quotas and a steady decline in the number of ships stopping at Saint
Pierre. In 1992, an arbitration panel awarded the islands an
exclusive economic zone of 12,348 sq km to settle a longstanding
territorial dispute with Canada, although it represents only 25% of
what France had sought. France heavily subsidizes the islands to the
great betterment of living standards. The government hopes an
expansion of tourism will boost economic prospects. Fish farming,
crab fishing, and agriculture are being developed to diversify the
local economy. Recent test drilling for oil may pave the way for
development of the energy sector.