The Santos-Dumont No. 2 (1909)

Again, if the wind is blowing north at thirty miles per hour, and the minimum (relative) velocity at which an aeroplane will sustain its load is forty miles per hour, we cannot progress northward any more slowly than at seventy miles’ speed. And we have this peculiar condition of things: suppose the wind to be blowing north at fifty miles per hour. The aeroplane designed for a forty mile speed may then face this wind and sustain itself while actually moving backward at an absolute speed (as seen from the earth) of ten miles per hour.

We are at the mercy of the wind, and wind velocities may reach a hundred miles an hour. The inherent disadvantage of aerial flight is in what engineers call its “low load factor.” That is, the ratio of normal performance required to possible abnormal performance necessary under adverse conditions is extremely low. To make a balloon truly dirigible throughout the year involves, at Paris, for example, as we have seen, a speed exceeding fifty-four miles per hour: and even then, during one-tenth the year, the effective speed would not exceed twenty miles per hour. A time table which required a schedule speed reduction of 60% on one day out of ten would be obviously unsatisfactory.

In the Bay of Monaco Santos-Dumont’s No. 6
The flights terminated with a fall into the sea, happily without injury to the operator

Further, if we aim at excessively high independent speeds for our dirigible balloons, in order to become independent of wind conditions, we soon reach velocities at which the gas bag is unnecessary: that is, a simple wing surface would at those speeds give ample support. The increased difficulty of maintaining rigidity of the envelope, and of steering, at the great pressures which would accompany these high velocities would also operate against the dirigible type.

With the aeroplane, higher speed means less sail area for a given weight and a stronger machine. Much higher speeds are probable. We have already a safe margin as to weight per horse-power of motor, and many aeroplane motors are for stanchness purposely made heavier than they absolutely need to be.