By assigning to each racer caught an arbitrary age, on the basis of size according to [Table 17], I calculated the population (exclusive of those snakes in their first year of life) to have the composition shown in [Table 19].

Table 19. Percentages of Adult Population of Blue Racers
Comprised by Each Annual Age Group

Years of Age234567891011 or more
Percentage of population41.517.812.69.56.14.32.72.41.21.9

Figures are completely lacking to show the relative numbers of juveniles, until, already approaching adult size, the young are about to enter their second hibernation. My combined fall samples include 303 of these latter young, as against 142 racers about to enter their third hibernation. Thus, after having nearly attained adult size, these adolescent snakes sustained a loss of 53 per cent in a year. Losses must occur at an even more rapid rate in the younger and smaller snakes. It may be speculated that of the approximately 300 eggs produced by a population of 100 adult racers, 150 are lost before or during the period of incubation which lasts nearly two months. Of the 150 hatchlings emerging in early September, at least one-third probably are eliminated by the following breeding season in late May, leaving 100. The 100 survivors at this stage are still small juveniles, but by autumn they have attained adolescent size. By this time, if they had undergone a further reduction by 53 per cent, only 47 would remain—approximately the number to be expected if the population were stable from year to year.

A notable difference between the fall sample and the spring sample that I obtained was the higher proportion of large and old racers in the former sample. This difference can be attributed to the year-to-year changes in the population during the 14 consecutive years spanned by my field work. The fall sample of 734 racers represented the combined catch of the years 1949 through 1962, rather evenly distributed, but the spring sample included few snakes from the years 1949 through 1957; most were from the years 1958 through 1961. In 1949 when the study was begun, the Reservation was being protected for the first time, and formerly overgrazed pastures or cultivated fields were acquiring a rank growth of grass and weedy vegetation, and thus becoming favorable habitat. The abundant new habitat promoted rapid increase in the population of racers until the newly available areas were filled to their "carrying capacity." [Table 21] shows the changing trends of the different age groups. Although the separate annual samples are perhaps too small to show the composition of the population accurately, it is significant that in the fall of 1949 an unusually high proportion of the racers caught were one-year-olds, hatched in September, 1948.

[Table 20] shows that in a typical group of 100 subadult and adult racers (second year and older) only a little more than one-fourth are productive females. The largest females, six years old and older, making up less than ten per cent of the adult population, contribute nearly half the total complement of eggs.

The calculated number of eggs pertains to a stage before oviposition, and subsequent losses through resorption under unfavorable conditions, through inviability of embryos and through deaths of some of the gravid females, are to be expected. In the weeks of incubation further losses are sustained. Although these losses cannot be measured, they must be severe as on numerous occasions scattered and torn eggshells representing entire clutches dug out and destroyed by predators, have been found. Probably other clutches are destroyed underground by such predators as moles and egg-eating snakes, and still others by insects. Tinkle (1959:195) wrote that in a clutch of 15 eggs found under a board, four were parasitized and had small perforations. Molds destroy a high percentage of all reptilian eggs that are incubated artificially and doubtless destroy many under natural conditions also. Excessive heat or moisture, or desiccation, resulting either from climatic extremes or from poor choice of a nest site by the female, would cause further loss. In four different years, Blair (1960:108) found that losses of eggs between laying and hatching in the Texas spiny lizard (Sceloporus olivaceus) ranged from 69 per cent to 86 per cent; no other comparable study of the extent of egg losses in a species of reptile is known to me. The racer is somewhat less prolific than the spiny lizard, and potentially longer lived; the racer's eggs are larger and thicker-shelled, and they are deposited in deeper burrows. It might be expected that losses during incubation would be somewhat less in the racer than in the spiny lizard.

Table 20. Calculated Productivity in a Hypothetical Group of 100 Subadult and Adult Blue Racers