The reduction of the Moon’s motions to rule was a harder task than the formation of planetary tables, if accuracy was required; for the Moon’s motion is affected by an incredible number of different and complex inequalities, which, till their law is detected, appear to defy all theory. Still, however, progress was made in this work. The most important advances were due to Tycho Brahe. In addition to the first and second inequalities of the moon (the Equation of the Centre, known very early, and the Evection, which Ptolemy had discovered), Tycho proved that there was another inequality, which he termed the Variation,[45] which depended on the moon’s position with respect to the sun, and which at its maximum was forty minutes and a half, about a quarter of the evection. He also perceived, though not very distinctly, the necessity of another correction of the moon’s place depending on the sun’s longitude, which has since been termed the Annual Equation.
[45] We have seen ([chap. iii.]), that Aboul-Wefa, in the tenth century, had already noticed this inequality; but his discovery had been entirely forgotten long before the time of Tycho, and has only recently been brought again into notice.
These steps concerned the Longitude of the Moon; Tycho also made important advances in the knowledge of the Latitude. The Inclination of the Orbit had hitherto been assumed to be the same at all [304] times; and the motion of the Node had been supposed uniform. He found that the inclination increased and diminished by twenty minutes, according to the position of the line of nodes; and that the nodes, though they regress upon the whole, sometimes go forwards and sometimes go backwards.
Tycho’s discoveries concerning the moon are given in his Progymnasmata, which was published in 1603, two years after the author’s death. He represents the Moon’s motion in longitude by means of certain combinations of epicycles and eccentrics. But after Kepler had shown that such devices are to be banished from the planetary system, it was impossible not to think of extending the elliptical theory to the moon. Horrox succeeded in doing this; and in 1638 sent this essay to his friend Crabtree. It was published in 1673, with the numerical elements requisite for its application added by Flamsteed. Flamsteed had also (in 1671–2) compared this theory with observation, and found that it agreed far more nearly than the Philolaic Tables of Bullialdus, or the Carolinian Tables of Street (Epilogus ad Tabulas). Moreover Horrox, by making the centre of the ellipse revolve in an epicycle, gave an explanation of the evection, as well as of the equation of the centre.[46]
[46] Horrox (Horrockes as he himself spelt his name) gave a first sketch of his theory in letters to his friend Crabtree in 1638: in which the variation of the eccentricity is not alluded to. But in Crabtree’s letter to Gascoigne in 1642, he gives Horrox’s rule concerning it; and Flamsteed in his Epilogue to the Tables, published by Wallis along with Horrox’s works in 1673, gave an explanation of the theory which made it amount very nearly to a revolution of the centre of the ellipse in an epicycle. Halley afterwards made a slight alteration; but hardly, I think, enough to justify Newton’s assertion (Princip. Lib. iii. Prop. 35, Schol.), “Halleius centrum ellipseos in epicyclo locavit.” See Baily’s Flamsteed, p. 683.
Modern astronomers, by calculating the effects of the perturbing forces of the solar system, and comparing their calculations with observation, have added many new corrections or equations to those known at the time of Horrox; and since the Motions of the heavenly bodies were even then affected by these variations as yet undetected, it is clear that the Tables of that time must have shown some errors when compared with observation. These errors much perplexed astronomers, and naturally gave rise to the question whether the motions of the heavenly bodies really were exactly regular, or whether they were not affected by accidents as little reducible to rule as wind and weather. Kepler had held the opinion of the casualty of such errors; but Horrox, far more philosophically, argues against this opinion, though he [305] allows that he is much embarrassed by the deviations. His arguments show a singularly clear and strong apprehension of the features of the case, and their real import. He says,[47] “these errors of the tables are alternately in excess and defect; how could this constant compensation happen if they were casual? Moreover, the alternation from excess to defect is most rapid in the Moon, most slow in Jupiter and Saturn, in which planets the error continues sometimes for years. If the errors were casual, why should they not last as long in the Moon as in Saturn? But if we suppose the tables to be right in the mean motions, but wrong in the equations, these facts are just what must happen; since Saturn’s inequalities are of long period, while those of the Moon are numerous, and rapidly changing.” It would be impossible, at the present moment, to reason better on this subject; and the doctrine, that all the apparent irregularities of the celestial motions are really regular, was one of great consequence to establish at this period of the science.
[47] Astron. Kepler. Proleg. p. 17.
Sect. 3.—Causes of the further Progress of Astronomy.
We are now arrived at the time when theory and observation sprang forwards with emulous energy. The physical theories of Kepler, and the reasonings of other defenders of the Copernican theory, led inevitably, after some vagueness and perplexity, to a sound science of Mechanics; and this science in time gave a new face to Astronomy. But in the mean time, while mechanical mathematicians were generalizing from the astronomy already established, astronomers were accumulating new facts, which pointed the way to new theories and new generalizations. Copernicus, while he had established the permanent length of the year, had confirmed the motion of the sun’s apogee, and had shown that the eccentricity of the earth’s orbit, and the obliquity of the ecliptic, were gradually, though slowly, diminishing. Tycho had accumulated a store of excellent observations. These, as well as the laws of the motions of the moon and planets already explained, were materials on which the Mechanics of the Universe was afterwards to employ its most matured powers. In the mean time, the telescope had opened other new subjects of notice and speculation; not only confirming the Copernican doctrine by the phases of Venus, and the analogical examples of Jupiter and Saturn, which with their Satellites [306] appeared like models of the Solar System; but disclosing unexpected objects, as the Ring of Saturn, and the Spots of the Sun. The art of observing made rapid advances, both by the use of the telescope, and by the sounder notions of the construction of instruments which Tycho introduced. Copernicus had laughed at Rheticus, when he was disturbed about single minutes; and declared that if he could be sure to ten minutes of space, he should be as much delighted as Pythagoras was when he discovered the property of the right-angled triangle. But Kepler founded the revolution which he introduced on a quantity less than this. “Since,” he says,[48] “the Divine Goodness has given us in Tycho an observer so exact that this error of eight minutes is impossible, we must be thankful to God for this, and turn it to account. And these eight minutes, which we must not neglect, will, of themselves, enable us to reconstruct the whole of astronomy.” In addition to other improvements, the art of numerical calculation made an inestimable advance by means of Napier’s invention of Logarithms; and the progress of other parts of pure mathematics was proportional to the calls which astronomy and physics made upon them.
[48] De Stellâ Martis, c. 19.